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Brace yourselves: America’s next revolution may be just around the corner

After a status quo election, American politics seems fairly stable – two relatively equal parties are jockeying for position. Nevertheless, James Piereson, a Manhattan senior fellow at American University, sees President Barack Obama as “a figure from a dying era.” The bureaucratic state, he says, teeters on the edge of collapse.

Monday night, Piereson told a brief story of America – past, present, and future – to a crowd of about 80 concerned citizens at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), in Washington, D.C. as part of a lecture explaining why he believes that American’s next revolution is just around the corner. In order to predict the future, we must first learn from the past, he argued.

In 1800, Thomas Jefferson’s party called John Adams a “blind, bald, crippled, toothless old man,” while Adams’ party said a Jefferson presidency would bring “murder, adultery, rape, incest, and robbery” to America.

When Jefferson’s Democrats won in 1800 (and in the next five elections), they brought along something worse – Manifest Destiny. Under their rule, the Republic grew from thirteen colonies along the East Coast to a continental empire “from sea to shining sea.”

After this first “party regime,” Piereson said that Lincoln’s Republicans, who held the reins of power from 1860 to 1930, grew the economy through the free market, tariffs on European goods and the gold standard. America’s population rose from 30 million people to 130 million, and America became an industrial nation.

After the stock market crash of 1929, “the Democratic welfare regime” sought security for the middle and working classes. Their programs of Social Security, labor unions and federal spending stabilized the economy.

In recent years, however, that system has started falling apart.

“Since 2001, federal spending has grown at roughly twice the rate of economic growth,” and states and individuals keep asking the U.S. government for more money.

Negative demographic trends also test the system. While between 80 and 90 million people will be set to draw old age benefits in the 2020s. The current workforce (people able to work) stands at 158 million, and perhaps only 120 million of them have full time jobs.

“Even if we assume an expanding economy and a declining unemployment rate, the nation will eventually reach a point where there are less than two people working to support each beneficiary,” Piereson said, explaining that 150 million people will be working to support 80 million. “That’s not a good situation.”

The bad news doesn’t stop there. In order to meet America’s economic needs, Pierson said, the U.S.’s gross domestic product (GDP) needs to grow at least by about 2 percent per year, so long as spending does not increase. If  the economy grows even faster, we can cut the deficit and debt.  However, given the decades of decline in the U.S. GDP, that is not likely to occur.

Increasing federal spending, an aging population, and lagging economic growth will drive up deficits further, no matter how well Republicans and Democrats deal with the impending “fiscal cliff.”

These problems are likely to hit Millenials hardest, since those currently entering their twenties will drive the workforce in the next two decades.

As in the 1860s, something’s got to give in America. Politicians did not face the problem of slavery head on in the 1840s and 1850s, and it led to a civil war. America may need another cataclysmic event – like the Election of 1800, the Civil War, or the Stock Market Crash of 1929 – to force the people to deal with these problems, he argued.

The “fiscal cliff” may just the beginning of the U.S.’s fall from grace.

 

Comments

Comments

  1. Dave says:

    I was one of the sheep until Obama was elected. I no longer speak to family members who support him. I believe the only way this country can become whole again is through violence so horrific that people are forced to become self reliant again. I will have no mercy on the takers that now account for half of our citizens. Conservatives are willing to die for their principles, Libs have no principals, You cant take things if your dead. The outcome is already known to all except the left wing. We tried to save you from yourselves, but were unable to.

    1. MM says:

      Dave, I couldn’t agree more-I’ve been telling everyone the exact same thing-if you have an ounce of sense you’re stocking up on silver and lead.

      1. Mike says:

        I was born in 1952 and since then this country has fallen apart. This is not the country i was raised in. I do not want to put a U.S. flag on my house. I really think in my lifetime there will be some type of fighting amongst the populous. We as a nation cannot go on any longer w a spend and kill attitude. We have gotten to big 4 our britches and we will pay 4 it. Some times i am ashamed to say i am an American. I am just waiting 4 the tanks to run down the main street. HERE COMES SOCIALISM.

    2. The FBI says:

      sit tight we’ll be there in 5 minutes

      1. Firepower says:

        lol
        You can’t even properly arm
        Mexican Drug Cartels
        Or find gasoline
        In Bengazi

    3. ANONymous Patriot says:

      Not necessarily. There are high priority targets that could be hit with minimum or even no casualties. Targets that would cripple the elites.

    4. Michael L. says:

      I have my protection. I have my food and water. I have my mate. I have my retired military son in law. NOW, I must meld these together to outlast the Obamanation. I’m an old man but my goal is to live as an American. That is, Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness, even if that means destroying everyone and everything around me.

  2. Michael Long says:

    If there’s one thing that may spark a revolution, it’s the concentration of more and more of our nation’s wealth in the hands of fewer and fewer people. It’s time for the “greed is good” generation to step aside.

  3. Cliff M. says:

    Michael, I would rather deal with robber barons than a statist government that is taking my money and freedom “for my own good, and of course the children!” Robber barons may become sated or sleep. Intruding, grasping statists never do. Your boilerplate nonsequitors show your shallowness of thought.

  4. DGA says:

    People generally continue along their same life path until they no longer have anything left to lose. We the People will have to hit some lows first to do this. You are not likely to risk what you have unless you have very little, and life as you know it is almost as bad as death. This, at least, has been what has driven revolutions around the world in the past. The only thing that challenges this theory is if you are at grave risk to your life from attacking mobs etc. The left seem to be stupid enough to try being the attacking mobs, as they think in mob mentality. It won’t end well for them.

  5. BobC says:

    We’ve come to a point that civil war isn’t a matter of “if, but “when”. Our country has been split from east to west, north to south with political deliberation, all part of the socialist revolution that has been taking on a life of its own of late years. It will take a “last man standing” confrontation to sort it out. I’m sorry to say our civilized society won’t be, much longer. So sad.

  6. Boots says:

    support your local white nationalists!

    1. Mike says:

      ‘remember the Alamo”

  7. William Morgan says:

    I found a website that really promotes revolt in america. Or I should say a blog…the american republic manifestum. Quite interesting and plausable. America is ready for another revolution, and most of you know it in your hearts, but are really fearfull of it if it comes, because that means you just may lose many of your “things”, and possibly die. You don’t want that do you?. Let someone else do the fighting for you while you enjoy Christmas. I for one wish to change this government and its not by the pen or paper…or some corrupt business leader or politcal puppet. I am an American, and I want my country back at all costs!

  8. Jameson says:

    Yeah yeah let’s stock up on lead and silver. We let America get this way and now we’re complaining online about the consequences. Hows about we get out there and do something? Instead of sitting behind a comp screen like a bunch of sissies. You want your country back? Do something, don’t say something.

    1. ANONymous Patriot says:

      A-men. You want change, change something!

  9. [...] Brace yourselves: America’s next revolution may be just around the corner (redalertpolitics.com) [...]

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