Today, Gallup released new job approvals polls taken in all fifty states with the headline: “Thirteen States and D.C. Give Obama Majority Approval.”
You can also read that as “Obama Below Majority Approval In 37 States”.
The problem for Obama is that his approval numbers are only above 50% in states we already know he’s going to win in November. But in the swing states he must take in order to win the opportunity to finish the job of destroying our country, the President is well below 50.
Iowa, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania — 46%.
Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina — 45%
Ohio — 44%.
Colorado, New Hampshire — 43%.
Gallup explains how dire these numbers are for Obama:
The 50% approval mark is significant because post-World War II incumbent presidents who have been above 50% job approval on Election Day were easily re-elected. Presidents with approval ratings below 50% have more uncertain re-election prospects. Historically, two presidents below 50% in their final approval rating before the election — George W. Bush and Harry Truman — won, and three, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George H.W. Bush, lost.
That’s a somewhat simplistic way to look at it. On election day, according to Real Clear Politics, George W. Bush’s approval rating was 49.7%. Today, Obama’s approval rating is 47.4%, and chances are an incumbent is lucky if they haul in more than a single point over his approval rating on election day.
We also have an electoral college and in the states Obama must win, he’ll have a lot of ground to gain if he’s going to get anywhere close to 50.
Moreover, things improved for Bush in Iraq as election day neared — and Iraq was the major issue of that cycle. This year the major issue is the economy and no one believes that’s going to improve. In fact, many believe it’s going to get worse.