Much like President Barack Obama’s hesitancy to campaign against Gov. Scott Walker (R-Wisc.), many House Democrat candidates might not be able to rely on the president this fall, making it unlikely that the Democrats will take the House.
Obama, who is running for re-election, will not be associated with candidates who can potentially lose their bid for the House this fall.
According to the Larry Sabato, director of University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, 235 seats are either safe or leaning toward Republicans, compared with 186 seats that are considered safe or leaning toward Democrats.
If 14 races that are too close to call are split at seven each, Republicans would start the 113th Congress with 242 House seats compared with 193 for the Democrats.
Should presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney win in November, the GOP could pad its House majority.
Senate races could get particularly nasty because the House might not be in play for the Democrats this fall.
Democrats are feeling the heat from an increasingly unpopular president and are getting more defensive about holding the Senate.