Can Conservative fave Ted Cruz cruise into Texas Senate Runoff?

Following strong wins for conservative Republicans in the Ohio and Indiana for nominations in this U.S. Senate primary elections, all attention and millions of dollars now turn to focus on Texas.

At 7:00am this morning the polls opened for early voting in the Texas Primary election. After months of legal challenges, culminating in a Supreme Court case regarding redistricting, voting has begun. The original date for the election was March 6th, but was moved several times throughout the court battles.

While 10 candidates are on the ballot in the Senate race, there are at this point only two with significant chance of securing victory: Lt. Governor David Dewhurst and Texas former Solicitor General Ted Cruz.

The most recent non-affiliated polling, by Public Policy Polling, showed the two only 12% apart on April 25th, with Dewhurst and Cruz are polling at 38% and 26% respectively. The third and fourth place candidates – former sportscaster and NFL player Craig James and former Dallas Mayor Tom Leppert – are holding at less than 10% each. Should no candidate break 50% of the vote, a runoff election will be triggered for 60 days later.

Cruz and Dewhurst have each raised millions, and millions more are now being raised and spent by PAC’s and 501(c)4 organizations, lobbying Texas voters to support their preferred candidate.

Club For Growth Action is the most recent group to join the fray. On the heels of their successful efforts to propel Indiana State Treasure Richard Mourdock to victory, denying veteran incument Sen. Richard Lugar Republican renomination, they have set their crosshairs on David Dewhurst with a $1 million media buy slamming the Lieutenant Governor.

In addition to improving poll numbers, the Cruz campaign has been bolstered in recent weeks by several prominent endorsements, including former GOP Veep nominee, Governor Sarah Palin. Mere days before the start of early voting, Palin’s endorsement has given the Cruz campaign a welcome boost as they enter the final stretch of the campaign.

For Cruz, the fight at this point is to keep Dewhurst from breaking 50% of the vote and secure his spot in the runoff election. For much of the election cycle it has been assumed by many political prognosticators that Dewhurst, the sitting Lieutenant Governor and a fundraising powerhouse, would handily beat all challengers. Since last September however, Cruz has cut Dewhurst’s lead from 29% to 12% and raised his own name ID from 29% to 48%.

Being forced into a runoff would be a significant blow for Dewhurst. The runoff election would take place in late July, with only a fraction of the expected voter turnout of the Primary. Making the runoff would also give the Cruz campaign, conservative activists and third party organizations the taste of political blood in the water necessary to incite an even more rigorous campaign through the heat of the Texas Summer, and set the state for another conservative U.S. Senate nomination triumph this primary season.

Comments

Polititainment

Bill Clinton, Usher fundraiser for Dem

In the latest instance of Democrat-celebrity coupling, former President Bill Clinton and singer Usher will join forces at a September 13 fundraiser for Democratic candidate for Senate in Georgia Michelle Nunn.

Eric Roberts: Bush killed James Foley

Actor Eric Roberts on Twitter Monday accused former President George W. Bush of killing American journalist James Foley, who was beheaded by an ISIS terrorist in a video posted to YouTube in August.

Palin asks fans to pray for Joan Rivers
Sarah Palin and her daughter Bristol are asking their fans to show support for comedian Joan Rivers, an unlikely pal of the Palins. Rivers,81, has been unconscious in the hospital since Thursday after she went into cardiac arrest during a procedure. Palin posted on her popular Facebook page Friday directing fans to a blog post by Bristol. […]
Grover Norquist loved Burning Man
It’s official: Grover Norquist absolutely loved this year’s Burning Man festival. Before the blaze with co-founder of Burning Man Larry Harvey.He has created a wonderful festival/movement/Brigadoon pic.twitter.com/3iq5UzcPYG — Grover Norquist (@GroverNorquist) August 31, 2014 Burning Man. 65,000 participants. 1000s of works of art. Anyone who walks through BM and only notices nudity tells you only […]
Celebs gin up youth votes for midterms
THE HILL – With young voters more apathetic about voting and government than ever, several organizations are trying to woo the “selfie generation” to the polls this fall. “About half of those who vote in presidential elections do not vote in midterms,” explained Andy Bernstein, executive director of HeadCount, a non-partisan organization that partners with musicians […]

White House

Obama notifies Congress of airstrikes in Iraq
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Barack Obama has sent official notification to Congress of his order for last week’s airstrikes and humanitarian aid drops to help Iraqis threatened by Islamic State militants. The White House on Monday released a letter formally letting Congress’ leaders know that Obama approved the mission that repelled Sunni fighters in the northern Shiite […]
Obama: The world seems really messy because of ‘social media’

President Barack Obama, speaking at yet another fundraiser with a script that's been recycled more than a Hollywood romantic comedy, had an unlikely culprit for the world's problems.

White House scrambles to control the fallout from Obama’s ‘We don’t have a strategy yet’ comment
It’s hard to imagine that there was any other reaction than full panic from White House staffers after President Obama uttered a fateful gaffe Thursday afternoon, “We don’t have a strategy yet.” The line quickly exploded on Twitter and on television — though not quite as much as the president’s tan suit — as it […]
GOP: ‘He’s not a king’
THE HILL – Whether lamenting the so-called vacationer-in-chief’s swing of a golf club or criticizing his handling of the healthcare rollout, Republicans are getting in the habit of comparing President Obama to a monarch. “It’s one thing after another. You know he says he has no choice but to act. He says he has a pen […]
Obama’s Democratic fundraising just might ruin Labor Day weekend for the rest of us

Barely having returned from a 15-day vacation on Martha's Vineyard, Massachusetts, Obama will spend is Labor Day weekend traveling to support his Democratic friends. The problem is, this means that Americans planning to take seaplanes to East Hampton, Montauk, Martha's Vineyard or Nantucket won't be able to travel themselves.

Congress

Dem candidate: Republicans 'worse than ISIL'

Jesse Smith, a Democrat running for Alabama's 3rd Congressional district, compared Republicans to ISIL (or ISIS) militants on Twitter Monday, asserting that the GOP is "worse" than the terrorists that have wreaked havoc in Syria and Iraq.

When Congress was popular
THE HILL — If you’re not a paid staffer or blood relative, as the joke goes, you probably hate Congress. The institution is so unpopular that voters were more positive about brussels sprouts, head lice and root canals in one recent survey. But there have been a handful of times over the last 100 years […]
Cruz highlights issues for 2014, 2016 elections
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) elicited huge cheers from the audience at the Americans For Prosperity’s “Defending the American Dream Summit” Saturday when he vowed Republicans would take back control of the U.S. Senate and “retire” Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. “I’m convinced we’re going to win in 2014 and 2016 is going to be even better,” […]
IRS says Lerner's Blackberry 'destroyed'

A senior IRS lawyer has said in a sworn declaration that Lois Lerner's BlackBerry was intentionally destroyed after Congress had begun to investigate her involvement in IRS targeting of conservative groups.

Youth impact reason enough to pass jobs bills
The U.S. House Committee on Ways and Means is in the midst of releasing 40 reasons over the course of 40 days that the Senate should take up the 40 jobs bills the House has already passed. While most of their reasons have focused on general unemployment and economic growth statistics, they turned their attention […]