Romney win expected in Maryland primary

Maryland likely will be part of a three-state sweep by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney tomorrow as he marches toward the GOP nomination.

The Maryland primary hasn’t mattered in the GOP presidential contest since Ronald Reagan challenged incumbent President Gerald Ford for the nomination in 1976, but this year could be different.

The horserace to reach the magic number of 1,444 delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination means every contest matters, especially for Romney’s rivals.

“Maryland’s 37 delegates count,” American University political science professor Alan Lichtman told FoxNews.com.

Romney currently holds the lead in the delegate count with 558 compared with 273 for former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, 133 for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and 50 for Texas Rep. Ron Paul.

Maryland’s delegates are distributed through a combination of a winner-take-all arrangement and a proportional distribution, and only Republicans are allowed to vote in tomorrow’s primary.

All of the presidential candidates save for Santorum have campaigned in the state, which is known for a more centrist political orientation that is less congenial to the ex-Senator’s social conservatism and more affable to Romney’s centrism.

“When you look at the states still to vote, Maryland jumps out as one of the most likely to back Romney. The state GOP has a long tradition of backing relative moderates in the Bush 41 and McCain mold, not to mention Sen. Mac Mathias and a host of like-minded House members. Romney should win Maryland by a mile,” Dr. Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics, told Red Alert Politics. “Even a close win would be a surprise. In a better year for the GOP, Maryland is not completely averse to voting Republican in November, as it did for Bush Sr. in 1988 and Gov. Bob Ehrlich in 2002. But not in 2012.”

Romney campaigned near Baltimore with former Maryland Gov. Bob Ehrlich early last month and Gingrich has made several stops in the state, include two stops in Frederick today, and Paul made an appearance at the University of Maryland  last week.

A Rasmussen Reports poll  of 750 likely Republican voters from last Thursday found Romney holding a double-digit lead over Santorum by a 45 percent to 28 percent margin, with Gingrich holding at 12 percent and Paul at 6 percent.

“Santorum has lost any state where less than 50 percent of the electorate is evangelical. Maryland fits that bill,” Catholic University political scientist John White told The Washington Examiner.

But regardless of the outcome in the primary, Romney likely will find winning the state’s electoral votes in November nearly impossible because Democrats hold a 2-to-1 registration advantage over Republicans and it hasn’t voted Republican since 1988 in the general election.

(1st add with original quotes from Dr. Larry Sabato.)

 

Comments

Nancy Grace battles Dr. Drew on pot

Oh, Nancy. Just weeks after gracing the internet with her marijuana debate with 2 Chainz, she's served up another delightful bit of TV: her appalled reaction to discovering that fellow HLN star Dr. Drew is on the 2 Chainz side of this argument.

Stewart: 'Drones love Obama'
Jon Stewart couldn’t stop laughing about the drone found at the White House early Monday morning. A small drone crashed on the White House lawn around 3 a.m. and after several hours in lockdown, Secret Service determined that it did not pose a threat. “Of course it didn’t pose a threat. Drones love Obama. He’s like a one […]
Jonathan Gruber raps to MIT students

If you’ve been dying to see Jonathan Gruber, who credited the “stupidity of the American voter” with passing Obamacare, strip down to his undershirt and rap about economics, today is your lucky day!

Stewart mocks the Iowa Freedom Summit

Jon Stewart’s coverage of the Iowa Freedom Summit is about what you would expect—starting with his description the event: “A lot of Republicans who will never be president met this weekend,” for the “Fox News correspondent auditions.”

McCain takes on 'Sniper' bashers

Sen. John McCain is the latest person in a position of prominence to defend "American Sniper" from bashers, singling out the "obsessive critics of U.S. foreign policy" in an official statement.

White House

VP Biden appears on ‘The Ellen DeGeneres Show’ to get ask young people to sign up for Obamacare
With three weeks to go until the Obamacare deadline to purchase insurance, the Obama administration is pulling out all the stops to encourage young people to sign up.  The renewed push included a stop by Vice President Joe Biden on “The Ellen DeGeneres Show” Monday so he could appeal to moms who are good at […]
Small drone crashes at White House complex, origin unclear
WASHINGTON (AP) — A small drone flying at low altitude crashed into the White House complex before dawn Monday, the Secret Service said. President Barack Obama was not at home and the White House said it did not pose a security threat. The crash prompted an immediate lockdown of the White House grounds until officials […]
WH chief of staff blurts out previously-concealed name of American hostage on live TV

All in a day's work at the White House: sometimes you keep ISIS hostage names a secret, sometimes you let them slip in an in interview on national TV.

7 Times Obama was ‘Partisan,’ Not ‘Practical’ during his State of the Union address
Near the beginning of his State of the Union address Tuesday night, President Obama promised to be “practical, not partisan” in his proposals to Congress. However, his speech ended up being anything but. From cracking jokes to outright veto threats, it was clear that the president had no interest in bipartisanship. So we decided to […]
Obama has been reminding Republicans ‘I won’ for 2,189 days

President Obama trotted out one of his favorite talking points against Republicans yet again Tuesday night, reminding the opposition party that "I won."

Congress

CNN interviews Rand Paul on Snapchat

CNN made digital history this week, conducting the first-ever full interview with a lawmaker over Snapchat by snapping with Kentucky Senator Rand Paul.

Boehner and McConnell critique SOTU

“Dead. Real dead.” That was House Speaker John Boehner’s verdict on President Obama’s tax proposals--and nearly every proposal from his State of the Union address, with the exception of cybersecurity, fighting ISIS, trade, and possibly the childcare tax credit.

Senate surpasses its 2014 vote total in a week
Is this what the Senate looks like without Harry Reid in charge? The new Republican-led Senate has already voted on more amendments in just one week than the Democratic-controlled Senate voted on in all of 2014. “We’ve actually reached a milestone here that I think is noteworthy for the Senate. We just cast our 15th roll-call vote […]
Whistleblowers denounce DOJ juvenile program

According to whistleblower reports, a Justice Department (DOJ) juvenile delinquency program provided grants to states jailing foster children and runaways over minor offenses like skipping school.

Gohmert: Obama 'divisive on the issue of race'

There’s a reason reporters clamored around former-House-Speaker-candidate Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Tex.) at the State of the Union like this: