The 2014 '30 Under 30'

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Poll: Gingrich Supporters Would Split Between Romney, Santorum if Newt Leaves Race

Were Newt Gingrich to leave the race despite numerous resolutions to stay the course, his supporters would split roughly in half for Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum, according to a new Gallup poll.

Calls for Gingrich to leave the race became particularly evident following his dismal showings on Super Tuesday and after his poor showings in Mississippi and Alabama.

Gallup’s polling suggests Santorum would need to encroach upon Gingrich’s current supporters to catch up to Romney because he is not currently able to count on all of the Gingrich supporters to line up behind him.

The poll’s exact breakdown finds that 39 percent of Gingrich’s supporters would break for Santorum, 40 percent would move to Romney and 12 percent would go to Ron Paul.

But the Santorum camp isn’t buying the Gallup survey.

“I don’t know about the validity of the sample of the survey,” Santorum spokesman Hogan Gidley told Red Alert Politics. “I have seen polls showing that Rick would be pulling around 70 percent of Gingrich’s supporters if he dropped out of the race.

“It doesn’t account for what Gingrich would do with his delegates or supporters. I’m rather leery about a poll saying that he would split his delegates about 50-50.”

 

 

Comments

Comments

  1. Shellie says:

    In 2000 Alan Keyes and Gary Bauer got combined 23% of the cauucs votes, in 1988 Pat Robertson got 25%, so there is lots of votes going to the evangelical leader type of candidates. If we look at the 4 recent Iowa winners, we can put them mainly on two categories. Large margin victories by evangelical leader candidate, or small margin victories by the next in line . Huckabee was of the first type, Santorum is of the first type, GWB was kinda combo of the both types, and Dole was and Romney almost was of the last category. Actually Dole didn’t have an evangelical style leader, who had actually ever won any elective office as opponent, only Alan Keyes, so we could deduce that if there is a good, somewhat qualified, evangelical style candidate, he should take Iowa rather easily.A person who manages to get the identity politics edge, to claim the position of evangelical leader in Iowa cauucses, if that person has required political and communication skills, and charisma to be a good presidential nominee, that candidate will totally crush the competition in Iowa, like Huckabee and GWB did. Santorum didn’t, he got almost exactly the same as Pat Robertson did (24.56% vs 24.5%)…So he is going down because he is pretty candidate, not happy enough warrior, even when the MSM is giving him a free ride and right wing media is giving him a boost.

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