UPDATED: Earlier this morning, I wrote about how Rick Santorum’s threat to banish liberal 9th circuit judges to Guam were foolish in light of the upcoming GOP presidential caucuses in a territory he needs to win to catch up to Mitt Romney’s delegate count. Now, Rick Santorum says he regrets his remarks (now that the island will have its say in the Republican presidential nomination on Saturday). Whoops. (h/t Buzzfeed).
Guam, the Virgin Islands and the northern Marianas Islands are holding their primary elections on Saturday and have a combined 27 delegates to offer to whoever emerges victorious in what we’re calling “the Island contests.”
So far, none of the contenders have made any serious effort to nab these votes. Our questions is whether any of them, beside Professor Newt, even know where they are?
Historically, these islands tend to heavily favor the frontrunner, probably because they’re too busy hanging out on the beach. That or they are too far removed from the mainland to hear much about anyone else. In 2008, McCain won all the delegates, so it is probably a safe bet to say that Romney will do the same.
Virgin Islands: McCain 31.5%, Romney 18.5%, Ron Paul 2.8%, Uncommitted 47.2%
Guam: McCain 60%, Huckabee 40%, Ron Paul 0%
Marianas Islands: McCain 91.30%, Huckabee 4.35%, Paul 4.35%
Unless you consider “likes” on Facebook to be a good polling source.
Mitt Romney is sporting two Facebook island pages for the Virgin Islands and Guam. But he only has 1 “like.” (It’s ok Mitt, we know you have trouble with popularity contests.)
Currently Santorum has only one island-themed Facebook page, “Virgin Islands for Santorum.” But at least he has 8 likes.
Newt Gingrich doesn’t have any Facebook pages, but he’s excused, he has a campaign to resurrect.
In the end it is Ron Paul with the big numbers: 254 likes from Guam, 223 for the Virgin Islands, and 145 for the Northern Marianas Islands.
Maybe this is part of Ron Paul’s secret delegate strategy to take over the Republican convention.
Regardless, don’t let Kansas steal the Islanders sunlight this Saturday, because as the GOP presidential candidates have learned, you can’t take anything for granted this presidential cycle.