The 2014 '30 Under 30'

Congrats to this year's 30 -- check out the full list here!

Stop Hyperventilating Over Snowe’s Retirement

Calm down Republicans, there isn’t going to be a “SNOWpocalypse” or “SNOWmageddon!”  Maine Senator Olympia Snowe’s surprise retirement announcement may have diminished the GOP’s chances of holding onto her Senate seat in November, but the GOP remains in easy striking distance of a Senate majority.

In spite of all of the overly dramatic reporting on Snowe’s departure, many factors still favor the GOP as it fights for Senate control.  The public still broadly opposes Obamacare, the economy is lousy and the Democratic-controlled chamber has failed to pass a budget in three years.  Most importantly, the Democrats are spread extremely thin.

Due to the Democratic wave election in 2006, Democrats are forced to defend 23 seats this year compared to the Republicans’ ten seats.  The GOP needs to pick up only four seats to control the chamber outright and three if Americans elect a Republican Vice-President, who would cast a vote in the case of a 50-50 tie.

Those are brutal numbers for Democrats, particularly when the party has to deal with its own retirements in competitive states that swung heavily to the GOP in 2009 and 2010.  Seats currently held by retiring Democratic Sens. Kent Conrad of North Dakota, Jim Webb of Virginia, Herb Kohl of Wisconsin, Ben Nelson of Nebraska and Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico all represent attractive pick-up opportunities.

Election forecaster Charlie Cook lists Nelson’s Nebraska seat as a “likely” Republican pick-up, while seven other Democratic-held seats are listed as “toss ups.” By comparions, only three GOP-held seats are listed as “toss ups,” including Snowe’s.  Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball blog rates the races similarly, although it gives Democrats a slight edge in Maine and Republicans a slight edge in North Dakota.

Based on Cook’s ratings, if both parties were to lose all of its “toss-up” seats, the GOP would pick up four seats and take control of the Senate.  Throw in an additional likely win in Nebraska, the GOP is looking at an plausible 52-48 majority.

It’s interesting how Snowe’s retirement announcement has been painted by the media as a sign of impending doom for the GOP’s 2012 election hopes, despite the fact that the Democratic Party has been battered by the retirement announcements of its own moderate members.

We should also expect to hear a great deal about how those terrible “extremists” have pushed out yet another Republican centrist.  Never mind the fact that retiring Senate Blue Dogs like Nelson and Webb regularly found themselves at odds with the liberal policies espoused by the current Democratic caucus.

The bottom-line is that losing Snowe, who was an unreliable conservative at best, is not devastating to the GOP.  Republicans probably still have a better shot at winning the Senate than they do at winning the White House.

 

Comments

Comments

  1. Anibal says:

    NR Good for you!!!!! (And All of US)!!!! Wow, I LOVE Mike’s comments about the whirnes. I had a fear that he was going to say that the study shows that whirnes turn out to be .people who remind me of Me! But NO! Republicans are the whirnes!I tend to think of myself as fairly wimpy (but w/a strong side, too) so Mike’s observations about that study and Republicans are very interesting to me!Now that I think about it, Conservatives DO whine a LOT! Another thing: no matter How good they seem to have it, they Always seem to feel aggrieved. And also resentful if someone else gets even a Little Bit of what THEY want.It’s like only Their pain matters and only Their causes are important and only They can see the truth and only They matter.It’s no wonder I can’t stand these people.

Polititainment

Jenny McCarthy: Hillary could be lesbian

Tuesday's episode of "The View" spotlighted a recent New York Post report that claims former President Bill Clinton  has a mistress nicknamed "Energizer." The source of the Page Six story is a forthcoming book by Ronald Kessler entitled "The First Family Detail: Secret Service Agents Reveal the Hidden Lives of Presidents."

Pelosi talks naked photos on Colbert
Nancy Pelosi was a guest on The Colbert Report Monday night where she admittedly came on the show to push her “Middle Class Jumpstart” agenda. “What nefarious, northern California, San Francisco value are you pushing on the nation tonight?” Stephen Colbert sarcastically asked. Pelosi briefly explained that Jumpstart is a democratic plan that emphasizes the […]
EPA office tweets about Kardashian game

This is the closest the Obama administration will come to endorsing Kimye.

Sen. Ted Cruz featured on 'True Blood'
Anna Paquin, Alexander Skarsgård and Sen. Ted Cruz all in one place? Sunday night’s episode of HBO’s “True Blood” used the Texas senator and a fictional fundraiser at the George W. Bush Presidential Center in Dallas, Texas as a plot point. Cruz and the guests at the presidential library weren’t featured in a very positive light, […]
CBS Show based on Hillary and Benghazi
A new CBS television series was inspired by Hillary Clinton and Benghazi, the show’s producer announced this week at the Television Critics Association summer tour. Lori McCreary, an executive producer for “Madam Secretary,” and Morgan Freeman had been in talks with CBS about coming up with a scripted series and had been “trying to come […]

White House

Obama to fundraise at ‘Scandal’ creator Shonda Rhimes’ home Wednesday
It’s handled. The latest Democratic National Convention fundraiser featuring President Barack Obama, that is. “Scandal” creator Shonda Rhimes will host the latest in a series of Obama-led fundraisers at her Los Angeles home Wednesday, according to The Hollywood Reporter. Obama has been hosting fundraisers all over the country in the midst of a border crisis and […]
President ignores foreign policy and immigration crises in weekly address
Rather than discussing the multiple foreign policy concerns or the border crisis, President Barack Obama used his weekly address Saturday morning to essentially repeat his speech on the economy and the middle class. “Our economy grows best not from the top-down, but from the middle-out.  We do better when the middle class does better.  So […]
Michelle Obama uses third annual Kids’ State Dinner contest to promote healthy eating, promises to give up french fries
Chef Elena Hirsch’s winning omelet recipe—aptly titled “Barack-oli and Mich-room Obama-let” —landed the 11-year-old a seat at the third annual Kids’ State Dinner, held at the White House on Friday. Hirsch is one of the winners of this year’s “Healthy Lunchtime Challenge” contest.  The contest asks children ages 8 to 12  to submit healthy lunchtime recipes […]
Will Joe Biden’s off-hand comments on immigration force Obama’s hand again?
Will Vice President Joe Biden’s off-hand comments force President Barack Obama’s hand again? At the progressive conference Netroots Nation Thursday, Biden’s speech was interrupted by protesters chanting, “Stop Deporting our Families!” When Biden couldn’t get them to stop, he responded to them,  “I respect your view and I share your view.” He then encouraged the crowd […]
On Hectic Day, ‘No Drama’ Obama Sticks to Schedule
WALL STREET JOURNAL — Barack Obama’s unflappability was a selling point on the 2008 campaign trail, with aides proudly donning T-shirts reading, “No Drama Obama.” But as much of an asset as it was for the candidate, Mr. Obama’s steady-as-she-goes approach to life can cause problems as president. This conflict was on full display Thursday, […]

Congress

Cruz to Reid: Leave Ritz-Carlton, go to Border
After President Obama turned him down, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) invited Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) to join him at the border.  In response to Reid’s recent claim that the border is secure, Cruz said on Fox News Sunday that Reid’s perspective is skewed because he “lives in the Ritz-Carlton in Washington D.C.” “I would invite […]
Graham: Immigration reform crucial for 2016
Immigration reform will be crucial to the 2016 presidential election, at least one Republican senator believes. Sen. Lindsey Graham appeared on NBC’s “Meet the Press’” with David Gregory Sunday morning to discuss foreign policy and the border crisis. “Senator, the crisis on the border, immigration reform. This is an international problem. But it’s also a big […]
Cruz: Obama loves to blame problems on Bush
Why won’t President Barack Obama and Congress work to end Obama’s push for amnesty at the border? Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) believes the reason stems back to the Bush era. Cruz’s argument is that Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program is the reason for the surge of child immigrants from Central America seeking illegal entry into […]
Rand Paul wants to see minimum wage be 'temporary'
Sen. Ran Paul has a very different take on minimum wage from the Obamas, a point of detraction he made clear Saturday at the Reboot conference for libertarians and conservatives in the tech sector. Unlike President Barack Obama, who wants to see the minimum wage raised nationwide so people can live permanently on it, Paul argues […]
AZ Rep is tweeting #ObamaFailures every 30 minutes
Rep. Trent Franks from Arizona must have woken up Wednesday with a lot on his mind. Luckily in times like that, Twitter is always there for you. Franks took to his official Twitter page to begin a list of #ObamaFailures. Every 30 minutes he tweets another failure to add to the list and will continue […]